Consolidation in Domestic Telecom Industry Will Create a More Rational Pricing Environment: Report

The issues dogging the telcos are unlikely to subside near-term even though consolidation offers some consolation from a long-term perspective, says a report. Consolidation in the domestic telecom industry will create a more “rational” pricing environment which is a long-term positive, global ratings agency Moody’s Investor Service said in a report Wednesday. It can be noted that the entry of the deep-pocketed Reliance Jio in September 2016 has put tremendous pressure on entrenched players like Airtel, Vodafone, Idea and RCom to consolidation, asset sales, job cuts and also bankruptcies.

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While falling income and profits along with rising debt forced Vodafone and Idea to merge and create the largest telco as Vodafone Idea last year, Reliance Communication was forced to quit the consumer side of its business. The Anil Ambani company which owes over Rs 45,000 crore to banks has been dragged to bankruptcy courts by many of its creditors.

All the entrenched players have suffered reverses in their earnings since the entry while Jio has upped its subscriber base to over 252 million quickly driven by loads of freebies and other discounts. It has been reported that the sector may cull over 60,000 jobs in the near-term.

The irony is more for the Vodafone, as India was for long the most promising unit of the British major, helping it weather the global financial crisis of 2008 and the resultant pains in its other markets. For the first time in over a decade, Airtel reported losses in its home market in the June quarter and was bailed out by its African units.

The falling revenue has even led to poor voice and data quality as the operators are not healthy enough service all their networks. “Consolidation points to a three-four player market with a more rational pricing environment emerging in the longer-term, but no near-term catalyst for a rise in Arpus,” Moody’s said in the report.

ARPU or the average revenue per user is the key profitability metric that analysts track very closely. Even Reliance Jio reported a dip in its ARPU in the September quarter on higher sales of an aggressively positioned handsets. According to Moody’s, the now second largest telco Bharti Airtel’s Africa operations are helping it deal with the pain caused in the home market. This news is reported by PTI.

It said the New Delhi-headquartered company’s consolidated revenue indicates “subscriber growth and stable operations in Africa, which partially offset the troubles in the home market”. Commoditisation of the industry and cut-throat price competition are compelling the operators to rethink revenue diversification strategies, it said.

Commenting on the data revenue, the principle revenue stream for the players after Jio entered with its free voice offers, the report said the upcoming stream is showing positive growth. However, it is “unable to offset declines in traditional voice and SMS revenue”, it noted.

In a broad comment on companies in emerging markets including Bharti, it said capital expenditure would continue to be at a high of over 30% of revenue.

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3 Comments on "Consolidation in Domestic Telecom Industry Will Create a More Rational Pricing Environment: Report"

 

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Chetan | Bangalore
October 24, 2018 11:26 pm 11:26 PM

Another one… preparation under way for jio 5G stall. Unfortunately both Airtel and VIL cribbed last year too on losses and challenges faced by industry while jio talked about upcoming technology and its network . It was very embarrassing for visitors as these events are marked for industry enthusiasm rather than criticism aimed at govt. I have read that our PM has decided to call off his visit to tomorrow’s event citing frequent call drops from Airtel which he is using …

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Chetan | Bangalore
October 24, 2018 11:22 pm 11:22 PM
So it’s final, jio will be leading 5G revolution in India. Gearing up for tomorrow’s IMC 2018 event in partnership with Samsung and KT telecom of Korea.. Airtel and VIL participating in same event will crib about lack of 5G use case in front of Manoj Sinha . There is no 5G theme from both of them for tomorrow’s event is what I have read… VIL is focusing on 4G based IoT devices and not sure about Airtel. Incidentally both will speak about challenges faced by industry in terms of losses and lack of support from govt etc, while jio… Read more »
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Nikhil Mumbai-Pune
October 25, 2018 11:02 pm 11:02 PM

It should have been Jio only. Airtel can’t do this. If they cannot launch 4G then how can they launch 5G?

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