India’s 3G Connections To Hit 400M Within Four Years

Indias 3G Connections To Hit 400M Within Four YearsThe numbers of 3G subscriber connections in India are forecast to reach 400 million within four years, representing almost 30 percent of the country’s total.

According to a new Wireless Intelligence study, India 3G rollout (forecasts and market shares 2011 – 2015).

Seven Indian operators acquired 3G spectrum last year in addition to the two state-owned operators (BSNL and MTNL) that had already been awarded 3G airwaves ahead of the private auctions.

The study notes that over 80 percent of 3G connections will be based on WCDMA in five years, with the remaining 20 percent on CDMA-based 3G networks.Operators Reliance Communications and Tata Teleservices Ltd (TTSL) have both offered 3G CDMA for a decade; but both are also in the process of migrating to GSM/WCDMA and were the first two private operators to launch services using new WCDMA spectrum in Q4 2010.

Reliance and TTSL are set to command 3G market shares of 39 percent and 30 percent, respectively, this year (see table).However, 2011 has already seen a succession of rival launches – including Bharti (in January), Aircel (February) and Vodafone (March) – and Wireless Intelligence forecasts that all new WCDMA-based operators will have launched services by June 2011.

This means that, by 2015, 3G market shares will more closely resemble the overall national picture: Bharti – India’s largest operator – is forecast to command the largest 3G share (18 percent), followed by Reliance (15 percent) and BSNL (13 percent) (see table).

The study notes that India’s Circle A and Circle B service areas will account for 75 percent of the country’s 3G connections by 2015. Even though initial 3G rollouts are concentrated in the so-called metro areas (Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai, Kolkata) they will soon be outstripped by fast-growing demand for 3G in more populous regions such as Punjab, Bihar, Andhra Pradesh and Haryana, the report says.

But the situation is complicated by the fact that no 3G operator is able to offer a nationwide service, which will require network sharing and roaming between operators. Pricing 3G services appropriately in a market where around 200 million prospective users live on less than US$2 a day is also set to be a major challenge.

India 3G operator market shares 2011 & 2015

2011 2015
Bharti Airtel 3% 18%
Reliance Comms 39% 15%
BSNL 10% 13%
Vodafone Essar 2% 13%
Tata Teleservices 30% 12%
IDEA Cellular 2% 11%
Aircel 2% 9%
MTS 10% 7%
MTNL 1% 1%
S-Tel 1% 1%
100% 100%

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22 Comments on "India’s 3G Connections To Hit 400M Within Four Years"


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March 13, 2011 6:35 pm 6:35 PM

Thanx. But it will happen soon, those who pick up the idea, will definitely benefit. Even operators in coordination with manufacturers can bundle 3G option in the h-sets in exchange.

March 13, 2011 3:04 pm 3:04 PM

@PD GOOD idea but no body will care..all they want to make money.. if any service providers come forward it is bonanza for the customers

March 13, 2011 3:01 pm 3:01 PM

@Sam it would hav been done by BSNL but govt now insisting BSNL to give 3g services all over india and compelled to pay 13000 crs per the highest bid rate has been collected from BSNL for all circles… pvt operators who hav been given chance to select the circles and free hand to operate where ever they want in their licence area which was not offered to BSNL …from this u can know the step-mother treatment to PSUs …if we PUBLIC question the govt we may be benifited atleast in future